 Super Moderator ◆◆◆◆◆ Posts: 22,910 Joined: Jun 1998 From: Bristol, UK |
#73▸ Posted: 18 Mar 2001, 22:16 GMT
A month from now, this thread will have grown enormously. The documentary effect is real. The witnesses are speaking. The skeptics and the believers are still in their positions, but the distance between them is narrower. Not because anyone changed minds. But because the ground shifted. The case went from "settled and ridiculous" to "unresolved and serious." That's not small. That's the slow work of truth. Belgium took a decade to say "we don't know." Maybe Arizona takes longer. But the direction is now clear.
Curator |
 Member ◆◆◆ Posts: 2,660 Joined: Apr 2000 From: Phoenix AZ, US |
#74▸ Posted: 12 Mar 2002, 21:14 MST
Reviving this because the local paper ran the "it was flares over the Estrella range" line AGAIN and it still doesn't survive five minutes of looking. There were two events that night and people keep blending them. The 8:30pm formation was witnessed moving NW→SE over a huge baseline -- I have nineteen separate witness logs, three of them pilots -- well before the 10pm A-10 flare drop that the AF photographed. The flares are real. The flares are also a separate, later event. If you only argue the flares you are arguing the easy half on purpose. Nineteen logs attached as text. Tear them apart, that's why they're here.
cite your sources or sit down · Phoenix, AZ |
 Field Researcher ◆◆◆◆ Posts: 8,044 Joined: Aug 1999 From: Ohio, US |
#75▸ Posted: 12 Mar 2002, 23:40 EST
This is the right framing. The two-event conflation is the whole trick. For people new to the case: the geometry on the 8:30 formation is the part that matters -- the angular separation reported from Prescott vs north Phoenix is inconsistent with a single light source at flare altitude. DesertGlass your log #7 (the Prescott couple) -- do you have a time to better than ±2 min? That's the one a skeptic will attack first.
MUFON field investigator · Ohio · "I want it to be mundane and it keeps not being" |
 Member ◆◆◆ Posts: 2,660 Joined: Apr 2000 From: Phoenix AZ, US |
#76▸ Posted: 13 Mar 2002, 07:02 MST
Gail -- #7 is ±5 min unfortunately, they were not clock-watching, nobody is at the time. But #11 and #12 (the two ER nurses coming off shift) are timestamped against a 911 dispatch log, so those two are tight. I'll mark which logs are hard-timed and which are soft.
cite your sources or sit down · Phoenix, AZ |
 Senior Member ◆◆◆◆ Posts: 5,210 Joined: Apr 1999 From: Trøndelag, NO |
#77▸ Posted: 13 Mar 2002, 16:30 CET
From the outside (I work the Norwegian lights, different phenomenon): the discipline you are using here -- separating hard-timed from soft-timed witnesses BEFORE arguing -- is exactly what most of these threads skip. We do the same at Hessdalen and it is the only reason anyone takes our log seriously. Good thread. Cross-posting your timing method to the field-evidence board if that's OK.
Project Hessdalen volunteer · Trøndelag, NO |
 Field Researcher ◆◆◆◆ Posts: 8,044 Joined: Aug 1999 From: Ohio, US |
#78▸ Posted: 18 Mar 2002, 22:15 EST
The conflation has been the central problem of this case since day one. The 10pm event WAS flares, almost certainly. That's closed. The 8:30 formation is not closed. It will never be closed if the local media keeps smashing them into one narrative for convenience. The Symington admission changes everything here. He saw it. He believed it was not man-made. He mocked it publicly to manage the panic, yes -- but five years later he's saying it on record. That matters. That is the biggest development in this thread's history.
MUFON_Gail |
 Resident Skeptic ◆◆◆◆◆ Posts: 16,720 Joined: Apr 1998 From: Chicago, US |
#79▸ Posted: 18 Mar 2002, 22:31 CST
I need to be clear on where I stand now. The 10pm flares -- closed. I'm satisfied with the military timeline for the flare deployment. No problem there. The 8:30 formation. I cannot debunk it. I have tried. I will not pretend I can. The witnesses are too solid, the description is too consistent, the silence -- that detail alone kills every conventional explanation I've tested. If that thing was a formation of helicopters, someone talks. Pilots talk. There's no tight discipline that keeps it quiet for five years. And Symington saw it. Symington believed it. That's not nothing. I'm not saying what it was. I'm saying I don't know. And I'm done pretending I do.
Occams_Razorback |
 Member ◆◆◆ Posts: 3,410 Joined: Feb 2001 From: [you first] |
#80▸ Posted: 19 Mar 2002, 06:18 CST
Occams_Razorback just told the truth and I want everyone reading this to understand what that means. The skeptic on this board -- the guy who has dismantled half the threads here -- is saying the core case is OPEN. Five years. Five years and the official answer is still flares. Five years and we have Symington on record saying he doesn't believe that story. And the skeptic admits he has nothing. This is the vindication of the why-the-mockery point. This is why Symington chose the costume in 1997 -- because if he'd told the truth then, the panic would have been the story. Now we're having the argument anyway, just slower.
TrustNo1 |