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PARALLAX  »  CRYPTOZOOLOGY  »  World Cryptids & Folklore  »  Hessdalen is NOT a cryptid -- but read this before you post about it
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Hessdalen is NOT a cryptid -- but read this before you post about it
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K7RADIO
Veteran Member
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Posts: 10,110
Joined: Dec 1998
From: Arizona, US
#9▸ Posted: 11 May 1998, 04:08 MST
Anonymous -- I understand your position, I disagree with it, but I understand it. The problem is that "unidentified" does not mean "impossible under known physics." It means "we have not identified it yet."

When I do not know what is making a signal, the first place I look is: what natural phenomenon could make this? Because natural phenomena are far more common than visitors from off-world. Once I have ruled out every natural explanation, THEN I can say "this appears to be beyond current understanding." I have not ruled out any, because the data set is too small. And the cover-up argument removes the data from the conversation entirely -- if you assume it is all suppressed, there is no falsifiable statement left. That is not inquiry. I do not need courage to read the data. I need the courage to say "I do not know what this is." That is where we are, and it is where inquiry starts.
K7RADIO
Occams_Razorback
Resident Skeptic
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Posts: 16,720
Joined: Apr 1998
From: Chicago, US
#10▸ Posted: 22 May 1998, 11:44 CST
Anonymous, with respect: if the military is suppressing the data, then you do not have the data; if you do not have the data, you are guessing; and if you are guessing, you are not doing what Lars asked, which is to read what the instruments actually say rather than what we wish they said.

The lights might be a craft -- I do not rule it out. But the evidence for "craft" is weaker than the evidence for "natural plasma phenomenon we do not yet understand," and the evidence for "cover-up" is hearsay. What we know: repeating, photographed, spectra available, radar returns available, field observations by trained people. What we do not know: the mechanism, the origin, the reason for the clustering. I am comfortable not knowing. Filling the gap with "it must be a craft because the alternative is boring" is not investigation, it is storytelling.
Occams_Razorback
radar_Reg
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From: Lincolnshire, UK
#11▸ Posted: 02 Jun 1998, 17:52 GMT
On the cover-up, a thought. If NATO took an interest, it was almost certainly to rule out Soviet activity -- it was the Cold War. You see something on a scope moving oddly, you check: ours, theirs, or other? That is not a cover-up, that is protocol.

And the fact that they looked and then apparently moved on suggests they concluded it was not a military threat. If it were a foreign power's technology, NATO would not have gone quiet -- there would have been countermeasures, activity. The silence points to "not a threat, not ours, not theirs, unknown." That is where the data actually points: a genuinely unusual phenomenon, not explained yet, probably not a military asset. Uncomfortable as it is, "I do not know" is the honest answer until we have better data.
radar_Reg
TESLA_DROPOUT
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Posts: 2,030
Joined: Aug 2000
From: Fairbanks AK, US
#12▸ Posted: 12 Jun 1998, 02:08 MST
Anonymous, I want to take your physics claim head on. You said: "if you cannot explain it with your Maxwell's equations, it is beyond our physics." That is backwards. Maxwell's equations are GENERAL -- they describe how fields behave regardless of what makes them. If I have a plasma column in a valley, Maxwell tells me what light it emits, how it moves, how it interacts with radar. I do not need new physics. I need to understand the driving force.

And the driving force in Hessdalen is probably the geological stress and the crustal electric field. That is not "beyond physics," that is Earth science catching up to what the physics already permits. The hypothesis is testable: go to the valley, measure the stress state and the mineralogy, correlate with the light events, see if it holds. If it does, you have your mechanism; if it does not, you revise. That is how you tell craft from plasma -- you do not assert, you MEASURE. The lights are data, not mystery, and data answers to measurement, not to assertion.
T.D.
Hessdalen_Lars
Senior Member
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From: Trøndelag, NO
#13▸ Posted: 23 Jun 1998, 18:44 CET
I want to return to why I pinned this. Anonymous, and anyone reading who thinks the same way: I am not dismissing the possibility of something beyond our current understanding. I am saying we solve this by acquiring more data, not by choosing an answer and defending it.

The Norwegian and Swedish researchers in 1984 and 1985 did the rare thing -- they treated an unexplained phenomenon with respect AND skepticism at once. They did not say "it must be a craft" or "it must be nothing." They said "we do not know, so we will measure it," and they built instruments and went to the valley. That is the model. The activity peaked in the early 1980s and has been quieter since; the teams still monitor, I still get reports, and we log them. When it increases again -- and it may not -- we will be ready to do what they did. Not belief, not dismissal. Measurement. Logging. Respect for the phenomenon and for the data. Ask yourself not "what do I believe" but "what would prove or disprove it." That is the conversation I wanted, and this is it.
Hessdalen_Lars -- Trondelag, Norway -- we do not solve it by arguing, we solve it by logging it
Anonymous Coward
anon
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User ID: 68876509
From: a VPN, probably
#14▸ Posted: 04 Jul 1998, 07:33 GMT
Lars -- fair enough. I have read some of the papers, not all, and you are right that the data is interesting regardless of what is making the light. I still think the craft hypothesis is stronger than you do, but I accept that belief is not the same as evidence.

I will look at the spectra more carefully and try to understand what K7 and T.D. are saying about the physics. I do not promise to change my mind, but I will stop asserting and start measuring, at least in my own head. If the activity picks up again, I hope you will post it here -- I would like to follow it in real time with people who actually know what they are looking at. This thread has been useful. Most forums do not have this quality of conversation.
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